FULL UFC 177 BETTING ODDS (UPDATED WITH LATE ADDITIONS, INJURY REPLACEMENT)

With the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just over three months away, it’s time to begin having a look at the betting odds for the card. Two streaks on the card have lines introduced, and they are about as different as could be. At the primary event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the man he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first fight, Barao closed as a massive -910 favorite (bet $910 to win $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male manhood ruled that first fight, scoring a fifth-round TKO in among the greatest statistical upsets in UFC history. This moment, the chances are much nearer, with Dillashaw sitting in -140 and Barao the small underdog in +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight additional bouts on the card which up until now didn’t have gambling lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas changed that today as he published the complete UFC 177 betting odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ————– MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Evaluation: I actually desire Bethe Correia to win this particular battle, just so I never have to hear anything about the absurd”Four Horsewomen” ever again. Nevertheless, Correia has never confronted anyone of Baszler’s skill level, particularly when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler is able to sift through Correia’s drag and striking this fight to the floor where she will have a distinct advantage. The biggest worry for me is about Baszler’s long layoff and injury woes of late, and it can be more than enough to keep me from gambling her. Tony Ferguson seems like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been labeled on the toes a few times before, and unlike his bouts against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuani, he won’t be able to fall back on his wrestling if the striking does not go to plan. This should be very competitive in most regions, but Ferguson has minor edges which should propel him to victory. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decrease in his performances of late makes him look like a 37-year-old. He looked completely listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was immediately dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the other hand, Derek Brunson supplied the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his latest bout. It feels like Larkin was extremely overvalued as a potential while in Strikeforce, while Brunson had been missed. This is a very tough bout to predict in terms of a side or a complete, so I’ll probably stay out completely. On the other hand, I think Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem may have a wrestling advantage here, but even that’s questionable. Ferreira is the far better entry grappler, and likely even the greater striker at this stage (though Nijem’s advancement in that respect last time outside was nice to see). I expect Ferreira to get the win, and probably put another finish on his resume from his submission abilities or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo always made for fascinating bouts when he was confronting completely overmatched contest, so now that he’s up against a valid evaluation in Scott Jorgensen, I have to admit this is one of my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical advantages here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling advantage, obviously. He may not have the well-rounded skill set to stop Jorgensen, but I believe he wins rounds with takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo passed one of the important tests for prospects in his final outing too, getting cracked square on the jaw and shaking it off to win not only the fight, but that round too. The big question with Cejudo, as always, is: how focused is he? Perhaps being signed by the UFC was that the impetus he needed to begin taking the sport seriously, as in his past appearances (and non-appearances) with Legacy FC, it is quite obvious he’s been coasting occasionally. Against Jorgensen he may not be able to get away with a half effort, and if he does it’ll make him much more particular. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with decidedly less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His sole loss came to UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he has generally been able to restrain and outhustle opponents to pick up decisions. That will be hard against Ruslan Magomedov, that really possesses decent cardio for a heavyweight, to go together with his solid striking. Coming off of almost a year layoff, it is hard to expect much from Odoms, therefore I anticipate Magomedov to pick up the win, but he is somebody I completely expect to fade when he could get a few more wins and face adequate competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too quickly, and should almost be snuffed out in this stage. His striking defense appeared atrocious against both Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, along with his submission game was practically non-existent since he was tapped within seconds of hitting the floor against Miller. Perhaps that could work to the advantage of his backers from Justin Edwards however, as Edwards really isn’t UFC caliber, even at this point. Edwards has a good guillotine, and not many different skills, so Medeiros has this struggle to win so long as he doesn’t dive into that weapon. Edwards will likely come out fast, since he must know that a win will mark the conclusion of his UFC employ. Talking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will probably be shown the door too, because both place on putrid dislpays within their UFC debuts. Potts is a competitive — but not too talented — grappler, while Hamilton showed enormous holes in his own grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the flip side, Hamilton has some power and Potts was set out by one shot on the floor against Soa Palelei. Either guy could finish this battle quickly and I would not be surprised, or else they could play it safe and we can be treated to a truly awful heavyweight MMA. In case the price for this bout to go over 1.5 rounds is large enough, I may just have a shot in hopes that the bout really is of the bad selection, but I can’t see myself putting much more than Monopoly money down on this competition.

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